Take Ben Crane (16-1), 1/6 unit: Players rarely successfully defend titles in golf (unless their name is Tiger) but the timing looks good for this pick. Crane’s coming off a T11 at Hoylake and a T6 before that, at the Booz Allen. He’s still one of the best putters on Tour and his short length off the tee won’t hurt him here.

Take Bob Estes (100-1), 1/6 unit: He’s got a T10 and three T25s this year. He finished T26 in Milwaukee last year. He’s pretty bland as a player---doesn’t do anything exceptionally well or exceptionally badly. And that’s the kind of player who can win a weak-field tournament. Then again, anyone can win a weak-field tournament.

In the head-to-head, take Crane to finish higher than Kenny Perry (1-1), 1 unit: Perry is coming off a missed cut in Liverpool. He may be the most consistent hitter of greens on Tour, but putting is a problem. I’m going with Crane’s putter this week.